The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

Two sentiment views with different meanings

Fear & Greed restores seven cross-asset scopes—US, Europe, Asia-Pacific, crypto, commodities, forex and bonds—plus a composite, seven regional views and the 44 covered country contexts. The release introduced 59 cards. Search for a scope, open its component detail and check the eligible input denominator and source dates.

These are Watchtower heuristics, not republished CNN, Alternative.me, CoinMarketCap or Tickertape readings. The publisher directory links those services; a directory link does not mean a live numerical integration. The composite uses available core cross-asset scopes rather than adding their regional/country subdivisions again.

Market Tone remains a separate equal-weight regional price-change screen. Its declared transformation is clamp(50 + 12 × mean qualified one-day index percentage change, 0, 100). Missing and stale inputs are excluded with the denominator shown. Neither view is a calibrated event probability or a promise of predictive performance.

Read bond moves in three units

The updated yield rows and details expose basis points, percentage-point change and relative yield change when the source supports those quantities.

Worked example: a yield moves from 4.00% to 4.10%.

• Percentage-point move: +0.100 pp.
• Basis-point move: +10 bps, because one percentage point is 100 bps.
• Relative yield change: +2.50%, because 0.10 ÷ 4.00 × 100 = 2.50.

That last figure is a change in the yield, not the bond's price return. Relative change is withheld when its denominator is unsuitable or the source unit is unknown. Check CSV and evidence details for the same distinction. Release explanation.

Two sentiment views with different meanings

Fear & Greed restores seven cross-asset scopes—US, Europe, Asia-Pacific, crypto, commodities, forex and bonds—plus a composite, seven regional views and the 44 covered country contexts. The release introduced 59 cards. Search for a scope, open its component detail and check the eligible input denominator and source dates.

These are Watchtower heuristics, not republished CNN, Alternative.me, CoinMarketCap or Tickertape readings. The publisher directory links those services; a directory link does not mean a live numerical integration. The composite uses available core cross-asset scopes rather than adding their regional/country subdivisions again.

Market Tone remains a separate equal-weight regional price-change screen. Its declared transformation is clamp(50 + 12 × mean qualified one-day index percentage change, 0, 100). Missing and stale inputs are excluded with the denominator shown. Neither view is a calibrated event probability or a promise of predictive performance.

Read bond moves in three units

The updated yield rows and details expose basis points, percentage-point change and relative yield change when the source supports those quantities.

Worked example: a yield moves from 4.00% to 4.10%.

• Percentage-point move: +0.100 pp.
• Basis-point move: +10 bps, because one percentage point is 100 bps.
• Relative yield change: +2.50%, because 0.10 ÷ 4.00 × 100 = 2.50.

That last figure is a change in the yield, not the bond's price return. Relative change is withheld when its denominator is unsuitable or the source unit is unknown. Check CSV and evidence details for the same distinction. Release explanation.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

Weather Alerts

The global warning view offers country, severity, current/upcoming and multilingual text filters; paginated lists; original information/instructions; source details; map geometry; JSON export; and a country/territory coverage directory.

Read the issuing authority, issue/effective/expiry times, severity and message status. CAP updates and cancellations follow explicit source references. Multiple messages or language blocks are not necessarily separate storms. Japan's JMA municipality/hazard states retain their own levels and are not simply interchangeable with CAP severity categories.

A coverage directory listing does not guarantee complete current delivery for that country. No reported warning, partial, stale, not integrated and unavailable have different meanings. Warnings without qualified geometry remain in the list; Watchtower does not fabricate a country-centre impact polygon. Global warning release.

Natural Hazards

Use Natural Hazards for earthquakes, severe-weather products, fires, tropical systems, volcanic evidence and related observations/reference layers. Its recent expansion reuses still-valid global warnings, adds source event inspection and improves native-unit temperature, rain and snowfall cards.

The volcanic controls include source bulletins and published VAAC observed/+6/+12/+18-hour airborne-ash areas, with source flight levels. Airborne ash is not ground ashfall, a pyroclastic-flow footprint or an evacuation zone. An older open EONET listing does not establish a continuing eruption. No synthetic danger cone should be inferred from a volcano point.

Optional historical landslide reports, dated fault traces, reference volcanoes and LHASA model imagery have separate meanings and are generally off until selected. COOLR reports can be historical. GEM fault traces are geological references, not earthquake predictions. Provider-latest LHASA imagery may lack an exposed run timestamp.

Snow depth appears only when a source supplies it; rainfall is not converted to snowfall with an assumed ratio. Preserve observation/forecast/maximum labels, units and accumulation windows. The newness highlight uses an eligible source time for a bounded ten-minute window; refreshing does not restart an event's age. Expanded hazard methods.

My Watchtower is the personal daily-workflow workspace. It combines cloud watchlists, acknowledged changes, scheduled briefings, an in-app inbox and usefulness feedback. Its settings and results belong to the verified account.

Create your first watch

1. Open My Watchtower and create a clearly named watch, such as “Canada: banking and household debt.”
2. Choose the supported country, domain, company, sector, topic or asset selectors. A focused watch is easier to evaluate than a broad list of everything.
3. Save it and inspect the initial baseline. Existing evidence establishes the starting state; it is not all automatically a new event.
4. Open What changed. Review source-content changes, dates and coverage before acknowledging the items you have read.
5. If useful, enable selective alerts with an appropriate priority, cooldown and daily budget. Check the matched rule and evidence in each inbox item.

The initial implementation supports up to 20 watches. Typed thresholds bind to the intended field, units and version. Missing or stale evidence does not silently rearm a condition. Cross-watch deduplication and budgets reduce repeated notifications; they do not prove that every relevant development has been detected.

Personal briefings

Choose your timezone and local briefing hour. A personal edition can include a bounded set of qualified highlights, upcoming schedules, forecast outcomes and source gaps. Open the edition before exporting JSON, HTML or PDF. The saved edition is an immutable research record; later source revisions do not silently rewrite its original evidence.

The server scheduler can continue preparing the in-app workflow independently of an open tab. Delivery here is an in-app inbox, not a promise of email or SMS. Browser notification behaviour in other workspaces is separate. Use feedback controls to record whether an alert or briefing was useful, rather than broadening thresholds merely to produce more messages.

An optional research pilot requires an invitation and consent. Participation is separate from plan entitlement; it does not automatically grant additional access or mean that any recruitment target has been filled.

The Calendar combines official and provider schedules, reference periods, prior values and market expectations where supplied. It is a planning tool for upcoming information, not proof that a release has occurred.

1. Select the date range and the relevant country, category or source.
2. Read the event's timezone/time basis. A date-only schedule should remain date-only.
3. Distinguish scheduled time, reference period, previous value, consensus and actual release. They describe different stages.
4. Open the official source or event detail for publication and revision context.
5. Use the table or fullscreen view for a longer horizon. Its light-theme headers and day groupings are now explicitly styled for readability.

Compare like-for-like units and periods before interpreting a surprise. A percentage-point difference between actual and consensus is not necessarily a relative percentage change. A passed scheduled time with no actual value is an unresolved data state, not an observed zero.

Calendar evidence also appears as catalysts in Forecast Lab, Geopolitical Outlook and reports. Those appearances do not turn a schedule into a forecast or independent corroborating event. See Calendar methods.

Markets, scenarios and track record

Forecast Lab combines statistical market research, source-linked cross-domain scenarios, weather outlooks, economic catalysts, conditional comparisons, personal browser watches and immutable forecast/evidence records. It also includes the newer Systemic risk and Energy views.

For the original Markets pilot, the nine reference funds are SPY, QQQ, EFA, EEM, TLT, HYG, GLD, USO and UUP. Targets are defined over one, five and twenty NYSE sessions. A displayed directional estimate refers to the stated fund-price return, not every constituent, a country, a spot commodity, a yield or a total-return investment strategy. Distributions, execution costs and slippage are not silently included.

Select an instrument and horizon. Read its base and target session, empirical range, component/analogue evidence and baseline. Then inspect historical and prospective performance separately. Brier score, log loss, calibration and interval coverage answer different questions; a nominal 80% interval still needs observed coverage evaluation.

Live issuance uses actual issue times and freezes its definition, source cutoff and inputs. A missing target session remains awaiting evidence. A source revision can withhold scoring instead of rewriting the original forecast. Previously displayed research is not automatically a backdated issuance.

What-if comparisons and local watches

The What-if Lab selects non-overlapping historical windows meeting a specified reference-fund return condition and examines another fund in the same windows. It needs enough matching cases. This is conditional historical co-movement, not a causal shock-response estimate or a calibrated future conditional forecast.

Forecast Lab's original watches and saved baselines are account-scoped in the browser. Their visible-workspace estimate-change checks do not imply closed-browser delivery. Use My Watchtower's separate server workflow when that is the intended monitoring channel. Forecast Lab methods.

Energy

The Energy view includes price overview, futures curves, production/impact context, a declared supply scenario, sources/coverage, historical observations, research ranges and exports. It brings together EIA, World Bank, EU consumer-price and selected electricity references with native currencies, units, taxes and periods.

Select the series and market before comparing numbers. USD per barrel, USD per MMBtu, EUR per litre, monthly commodity benchmarks and hourly/daily electricity references describe different things. Published futures quotes are delivery-contract references, not expected future spot prices or official settlements unless explicitly identified as such.

The research projection uses a fixed declared historical method and persistence comparison. It is not established live forecasting skill. Current news/weather is context and is not inserted into historical training as though known then. The supply scenario uses explicit local-loss and elasticity assumptions; a missing comparable world total prevents numerical propagation. Production-country shares retain their source years. Energy methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

Linked Events: follow source records and revisions

Open Linked Events for the feed, filters, timeline, map, associations, sources and recorded changes. Search and narrow by source/type/time before opening a record. Its detail distinguishes occurrence, publication, issuance, source-snapshot and collection clocks where available.

Track a record, add a note or save a view when you want to return to it. The tracker can preserve changes observed since collection began; it does not reconstruct every earlier revision at the publisher. Tracking here is browser-local and does not automatically arm an alert or synchronise to another browser. Export/import or use My Watchtower for its separate cloud workflow.

Associations use shared entities, headline/document evidence and time windows. They are leads for investigation, not causal connections or independent verification. A publisher's country and a place mentioned in text do not automatically establish event coordinates. Relevant unlocated records remain useful in the list.

Incident Graph and Entity Explorer

Incident Graph helps inspect relationships among events, places and related evidence. Select a node or map item, read the relationship description and open the supporting records. Expand the map or description controls when the graph is dense. Ask whether an edge represents a shared reference, inferred association, model relation or observed fact.

Entity Explorer is useful when the subject is an organisation, person, asset or other named entity rather than a single event. Resolve ambiguous names using identifiers and source context. Similar labels can describe different entities; repeated mentions are not evidence of legal ownership or operational control.

A good investigation preserves three things separately: the original record, your relationship hypothesis and the evidence that would confirm or contradict that hypothesis.

The navigation tab Insurance Stress opens the broader Insurance Risk & Resilience workspace. Its views include country/industry statistics, solvency/capital, premiums/claims, balance sheets, allocation, market development, protection gaps, backstops, catastrophe observations, selected insurer references, histories, comparisons and sources. The older US proxy monitor remains separately labelled.

Choose a financial measure and reporting period before using a map or ranking. Preserve currency multipliers, ratio scale, solo/group scope and provisional/final status. A ratio of 1.0 can mean 100% in the source; EUR million is not EUR. Year-to-date quarters are not independent flows to be summed. Country reporting domicile is not an insurer's entire underwriting footprint.

Source-qualified review flags identify declared thresholds, such as a reported solvency or combined-ratio condition. They are not blended insolvency probabilities. A net combined ratio uses its specified claims/expense and premium basis; investment income and a claims-paid/gross-written-premium calculation are different.

Catastrophe points are source physical-event references. They do not automatically establish insured losses or carrier exposure. EIOPA protection-gap models, historical statistics and dated scheme descriptions retain their vintages. The selected insurer directory is a reference collection, not a complete licensed-register census. Retain source/derivative/free-original-material notices in exported work.

The current worldwide stress map includes source-qualified natural hazards, military/conflict and civil-unrest context alongside original CAT reference zones. Choose its Layers/view controls and inspect the source class and geometry precision. Worldwide insurance stress methods.

The lower Crypto market tab is a quote view. Crypto Intel is the deeper research workspace, with Overview, Markets, Stablecoins, DeFi/venues, Chains, NFTs, Derivatives, Network, Security, Global policy, News and Sources. Existing model/watchlist/analyst functions sit alongside this source-based research.

Search and filter the chosen family, open an asset or protocol, inspect a history and use comparison/export controls where offered. Complete filtered exports can span multiple pages; preserve a coherent source snapshot. Provider rate limits and partial directories remain visible.

Important distinctions

• Stablecoins: token supply and USD-valued circulation differ. A non-USD peg requires its proper FX basis; yield/share/fund tokens are not automatically USD1 pegs.
• DeFi and venues: TVL, trading volume, fees and revenue are different quantities. Overlapping protocol and chain totals should not be summed blindly. CEX asset references are not proof of solvency.
• Yield pools: APY is source-reported context, not a guaranteed forward return.
• NFTs: a listed floor is not a bid; floor × supply is not readily liquid market value. Addresses are not people. Collection directories can be partial.
• Derivatives: preserve contract type, expiry and native open-interest units. An options notional and a contract count are not the same measure.
• Security and policy: distinguish a historical exploit report, an official regulatory reference and an issuer assertion. A directory entry is not a legal approval or reserve audit.

Use the Source view to understand coverage before comparing chains or countries. A country filter in policy references is not a physical-risk map of a blockchain.

Global Bonds: choose a measurement, then its source

Open Global Bonds and use Desk, Sovereigns, Markets, Credit, Ratings & CDS, Derivatives, Offshore Currencies, Leverage/Collateral, Structured, Swap Lines/Repo, Flows, Warnings or Sources according to the question. The primary panels distinguish direct observations, contextual prices/proxies, source-required gaps and authored model components.

Read sovereign yield tenors and native units. In fiscal comparisons, general-government debt, central-only debt, consolidation and expenditure/expense definitions stay explicit. Total expenditure and expense are not summed as if they were non-overlapping measures. Source year and estimated/provisional status can differ across countries.

Ratings & CDS contains a separate broad reference workflow for issuers, funds/vehicles and rated instruments, plus public credit-derivative disclosures. See its dedicated lesson for source status, identities, contracts and price distinctions. The aggregate corporate credit/debt model does not become an issuer-level default estimate merely because a company reference is available nearby.

Derivatives, offshore currencies and funding

BIS notional, gross market value and legally netted credit exposure have different meanings. Currency legs and alternative instrument/maturity/rating breakdowns can overlap. Period-matched shares require compatible numerators/denominators. Market size is not measured loss.

Offshore USD/EUR/JPY credit and Hong Kong offshore-RMB deposit measures have source-specific currencies, components and coverage. They are not one complete global Eurocurrency money-supply total. Keep reported stocks separate from illustrative running debt clocks.

Financial Stress, Deposits and Bank Run Monitor

Use Financial Stress and Deposits for their exact funding/liquidity/positioning/price indicators and stated models. In Bank Run Monitor, distinguish official institution/system observations, authored bank-sample diagnostics and reported news/context. A payment outage, stock decline and deposit outflow are different observations.

Bank CDS retains a selected published five-year premium reference with holding-company/operating-bank boundaries and original dates. Its contract details can be incomplete. Wider rating/CDS links lead to the reference workspace rather than silently replacing model values or inferring deposit safety.

Government finance methods · Credit/CDS methods · Bank evidence methods

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

Countries: build a dated dossier

Choose a country in Countries and work through its overview, statistics/trends, encyclopedia, Demographics, comparisons and source references. Compare compatible measures and source years; some tools allow up to four countries. Export exact source series with their units and periods.

The country/territory directory is broader than contemporary coverage for every measure. World Bank statistics have publication lags. Wikipedia prose is an on-demand revision-dated reference. Archived CIA Factbook fields retain original dates; the Factbook’s retirement does not turn archival text into a current census.

Demographics provides ages/sex, families/health, education/work, migration/living and source-qualified cultural references. A same-year population pyramid requires compatible cohorts and denominators. See the dedicated Demographics lesson for details.

Politics, news and legislation

In Global Politics, compare country governance/development measures using their definitions, years and coverage. Use Political news or Bills & legislation to inspect source-backed records. Select country/topic/source/date and read the source-specific stage. Original publication, capture, observation, passage and effective dates are different clocks.

A publisher’s headquarters is not the subject country of its report. Automated subject matches are not verified incident coordinates. Official legislative metadata and news-reported statements retain different evidence classes. Chamber passage is not automatically enactment or current legal force. Read the original record and any known official coverage gap.

The native country/source alert controls prepare a draft for review in Alert Center. An observed discovery/revision sequence is different from the time the event occurred; the first sample establishes a baseline. The guide never saves or enables that rule for you.

Country demographic methods · Political news and legislation methods

Geopolitical Risk / Outlook

The workspace includes Situation/Outlook, the Country table, forecast exploration, evidence timelines, market expectations, catalysts, track record and sources, with classic diagnostics retained separately. Select a country or region and a horizon, then open the evidence behind the chosen view. Fullscreen map-and-evidence mode keeps the map with collapsible filter and data rails.

Country tables contain source-year fiscal, market, governance and model fields. Check their individual periods and qualifications. A global scenario displayed beside a country does not become that country's probability. Reporting attention describes publication activity in its stated windows; it is not an incidence rate or coverage-adjusted measure of danger.

Compare up to four countries where offered, but keep a consistent indicator definition and date basis. Prediction-market contracts and Calendar catalysts remain separately defined evidence. Optional historical conflict layers are dated context, not a current census. Geopolitical Outlook methods.

Outcome Tree / Global Risk Studio

Outcome Tree makes the authored cross-domain scenario engine inspectable. Its eight non-exclusive scenario families span banking/liquidity, cross-asset dislocation, strategic supply corridors, grid/digital infrastructure, geopolitical escalation, health/biosecurity, mobility/official controls and food/energy pressure. Supported global horizons include 24 hours, seven days and thirty days.

1. Select a scenario and horizon. Read the precise criterion and forecast window.
2. Inspect retained contributors, excluded/context-only inputs and dependency groups.
3. Open the original source records and their clocks. Shared inputs can make models dependent.
4. Use a hypothetical experiment to remove groups, attenuate evidence or change an assumed prior. Observe sensitivity without treating it as a real intervention.
5. Inspect the track record and resolution state before interpreting a numerical estimate as demonstrated predictive skill.

These scenarios are not mutually exclusive, so their values do not sum to 100%. Published conditional pathways are shown only where the source model supports them. Compound-risk views use dependence-agnostic mathematical bounds rather than assuming independence. A sensitivity range is not automatically a confidence interval.

Saved experiment recipes are account-local browser preferences. Reapplying a recipe to a newer capture can produce a different experiment; read the changed-capture message. An active experiment may stay on its accepted capture until you explicitly refresh. Outcome Studio methods.

Geopolitical Risk / Outlook

The workspace includes Situation/Outlook, the Country table, forecast exploration, evidence timelines, market expectations, catalysts, track record and sources, with classic diagnostics retained separately. Select a country or region and a horizon, then open the evidence behind the chosen view. Fullscreen map-and-evidence mode keeps the map with collapsible filter and data rails.

Country tables contain source-year fiscal, market, governance and model fields. Check their individual periods and qualifications. A global scenario displayed beside a country does not become that country's probability. Reporting attention describes publication activity in its stated windows; it is not an incidence rate or coverage-adjusted measure of danger.

Compare up to four countries where offered, but keep a consistent indicator definition and date basis. Prediction-market contracts and Calendar catalysts remain separately defined evidence. Optional historical conflict layers are dated context, not a current census. Geopolitical Outlook methods.

Outcome Tree / Global Risk Studio

Outcome Tree makes the authored cross-domain scenario engine inspectable. Its eight non-exclusive scenario families span banking/liquidity, cross-asset dislocation, strategic supply corridors, grid/digital infrastructure, geopolitical escalation, health/biosecurity, mobility/official controls and food/energy pressure. Supported global horizons include 24 hours, seven days and thirty days.

1. Select a scenario and horizon. Read the precise criterion and forecast window.
2. Inspect retained contributors, excluded/context-only inputs and dependency groups.
3. Open the original source records and their clocks. Shared inputs can make models dependent.
4. Use a hypothetical experiment to remove groups, attenuate evidence or change an assumed prior. Observe sensitivity without treating it as a real intervention.
5. Inspect the track record and resolution state before interpreting a numerical estimate as demonstrated predictive skill.

These scenarios are not mutually exclusive, so their values do not sum to 100%. Published conditional pathways are shown only where the source model supports them. Compound-risk views use dependence-agnostic mathematical bounds rather than assuming independence. A sensitivity range is not automatically a confidence interval.

Saved experiment recipes are account-local browser preferences. Reapplying a recipe to a newer capture can produce a different experiment; read the changed-capture message. An active experiment may stay on its accepted capture until you explicitly refresh. Outcome Studio methods.

Countries: build a dated dossier

Choose a country in Countries and work through its overview, statistics/trends, encyclopedia, Demographics, comparisons and source references. Compare compatible measures and source years; some tools allow up to four countries. Export exact source series with their units and periods.

The country/territory directory is broader than contemporary coverage for every measure. World Bank statistics have publication lags. Wikipedia prose is an on-demand revision-dated reference. Archived CIA Factbook fields retain original dates; the Factbook’s retirement does not turn archival text into a current census.

Demographics provides ages/sex, families/health, education/work, migration/living and source-qualified cultural references. A same-year population pyramid requires compatible cohorts and denominators. See the dedicated Demographics lesson for details.

Politics, news and legislation

In Global Politics, compare country governance/development measures using their definitions, years and coverage. Use Political news or Bills & legislation to inspect source-backed records. Select country/topic/source/date and read the source-specific stage. Original publication, capture, observation, passage and effective dates are different clocks.

A publisher’s headquarters is not the subject country of its report. Automated subject matches are not verified incident coordinates. Official legislative metadata and news-reported statements retain different evidence classes. Chamber passage is not automatically enactment or current legal force. Read the original record and any known official coverage gap.

The native country/source alert controls prepare a draft for review in Alert Center. An observed discovery/revision sequence is different from the time the event occurred; the first sample establishes a baseline. The guide never saves or enables that rule for you.

Country demographic methods · Political news and legislation methods

Bayes Threat · Ancap Welcomeness now opens with country scores and independently refreshed evidence. Its country search, regional selection, comparisons, dossiers, pillar audit and JSON export provide several levels of detail.

Understand the score before ranking countries

The declared model uses twelve value pillars and a 60/40 liberty/practical balance. It is a value-based comparative model, not a probability that an event will happen or a personal guarantee about relocation. All 250 country/territory references can receive numerical estimates, but ranking eligibility depends on data-backed coverage. A neutral placeholder for missing evidence is not an observed average country outcome.

Select a country, open its pillar and source/weight breakdown, and inspect the reporting/review periods. Missing-input ranges are sensitivity bounds, not statistical confidence intervals. Related WGI and V-Dem evidence should not be treated as independent confirmation merely because it appears in separate rows. Historical comparisons must retain their model version.

Taxes & fees

The Taxes & fees view brings together source-reviewed professional tax summaries, World Bank fiscal/fee histories and selected official registry fees. Choose the country and tax category, then read the jurisdictional scope and conditions. Personal and corporate taxes, inheritance and gifts, and federal versus local charges are distinct.

A headline VAT or income-tax rate is not an effective tax bill for every person. A publisher's review date is not automatically a law's effective date. Conditional schedules should not be reduced to their first number. Historical Doing Business benchmarks remain historical; a listed incorporation fee applies to its stated service/channel and currency.

The declared fiscal screen uses fixed weights and explicit missing-input bounds. Unsupported local, social, sectoral, residency, relief and fee coverage remains a gap. Use the original authority/professional source for a specific legal or tax situation. Welcomeness methods · Tax and fee methods.

Global Wealth / Affordability brings together observed price/income/wealth statistics, alternative measures, investment-category references and a real-value lab. Its broader research views cover official inflation, wealth and inequality, national capital, household portfolios, income/wages, housing/rents, food, living standards, debt/taxes, rates/money and resources.

Start with the country and indicator, not an assumed overall wealth ranking. Open an exact series to check its population, sector, frequency and unit. National capital is not household wealth; average wages are not every worker's pay; a rebased housing ratio is not automatically years of income.

Official CPI, annualised one-month inflation, twelve-month inflation and alternative measures have different windows. A Big Mac PPP comparison is a purchasing-power proxy, not an inflation rate. FAO food-price indices describe an international basket rather than a household's local shopping bill. PPP dollars and market-exchange-rate USD should remain separate.

The investment-category directory explains roles and limitations of equities, bonds, cash, housing, REITs, metals, commodities, land, infrastructure, private markets, pensions, human capital, digital assets and collectibles. It does not assign guaranteed returns. Reference-only commercial measures do not imply a subscription or numerical data entitlement.

In the real-value lab, choose explicit nominal-return, fee-drag and inflation assumptions. The real growth factor is (1 + (nominal − fee drag)/100) / (1 + inflation/100). A copied historical CPI value becomes a labelled assumption, not a future inflation forecast. Save the assumptions with the result so another reader can reproduce the scenario.

Monetary Predictions contains several related but distinct research areas. Use the internal navigation to move between monetary/hyperinflation context, Gold and Commodity Wars 2030. Read the selected model's input definitions, source periods and evidence gaps before interpreting a ranking.

Monetary and gold research

Monetary screens combine the source evidence and declared methodology available in the workspace. A stress ranking or authored estimate is not automatically a calibrated probability of hyperinflation. Compare the underlying inflation, money, exchange-rate and fiscal observations rather than only the headline score.

Gold research links bullion/currency context, official reserve references and mine-production evidence where supplied. Separate a reserve stock from annual mine production, a futures quote from physical-dealer pricing, and tonnes from currency-valued holdings. Country references do not imply that all reserves have been independently audited by Watchtower.

Commodity Wars 2030

This is a source-based country resource/planning atlas. Choose a metric, reference year and estimate policy, then compare countries on the same measure, basis, unit and year. The reviewed catalogue initially contained 309 separate measures and a critical-material applications directory. “2030” is planning branding, not a forecast that a commodity conflict will occur in that year.

Production, reserves, resource endowments and processing capacity are different measures. Freshwater resources and adverse water stress point in different directions. Missing first-stage quantities remain unscored. A same-basis 0–100 ranking is relative to its eligible set; it is not a probability or a universal resource-security score.

Use Commodity Atlas to inspect physical references and Companies to investigate issuers, while retaining the distinction between national production statistics, mapped sites and company disclosures.

Sanctions, trade controls and ownership

Open Sanctions / Ownership for listed targets, entities, individuals, vessels/aircraft, trade/export controls, country/thematic regimes and sources. Search for an identifier and open the exact source entry. Preserve the list/programme, measure, reasons and dates.

List entries can overlap and are not a deduplicated population of legally resolved identities. Similar names do not establish identity. Blocking, sectoral restrictions, banking measures, licensing requirements, verification lists and procurement/import rules are distinct. A source programme's update date is not automatically a designation date.

Country programme maps do not establish a universal embargo or a restriction's severity. Ownership search/reporting remains a separate research tool; the workspace does not automatically resolve ownership chains or apply every jurisdiction's ownership rule. Use the issuing authority's current record for a specific case.

CBDC & Digital Money

Explore country ratings, retail CBDCs, wholesale money, private money, cross-border projects, regulation, stablecoin context, dated evidence, comparison and source gaps. Select the track before comparing countries.

The declared maturity bands run from research through design/prototype, controlled pilot, limited operation and operational product. They are ordinal deployment stages, not percentages of national readiness, adoption, privacy, safety or investment merit. A country rating is based on eligible explicitly mapped project evidence within one track.

A shared project can cover several jurisdictions without becoming several independent programmes. A completed historical pilot is not necessarily current operation. Private stablecoins and tokenised deposits are not CBDCs; supported currency or partner participation does not establish national adoption. Editorial review and source availability expire separately, so a fetched page does not automatically renew a rating.

Marine

Use Marine to investigate the available vessel, port, shipping and chokepoint references. Inspect the source and geographic coverage before interpreting a ship count. Public AIS samples may be regional, delayed or incomplete; a last-known position is not a current confirmed location. Embedded third-party views retain the provider's own coverage and access.

Compare a port or route observation with its source time, baseline and relevant event evidence. A position or traffic count does not directly establish cargo, ownership, delay, capacity utilisation or cause. Use Commodity Atlas and Infrastructure for physical context without treating nearby reference assets as proven affected assets.

Mobility Intel

Mobility connects ports/chokepoints, aviation weather/status and selected rail, border or corridor evidence. Its direct-evidence views retain native records, scope and formulas. PortWatch activity, METAR weather, FAA restrictions and sampled Finnish rail observations measure different things.

A weather report is not an airport-congestion reading. A scoped FAA restriction does not imply an airport-wide closure. Predicted rail timing is distinct from observed lateness. A same-weekday activity baseline needs adequate comparable samples; insufficient or stale data should not become an infinite anomaly score or a quiet condition.

For an investigation, choose one node/corridor, inspect its original operational series, then add weather, infrastructure and reporting as separately labelled context. Distinguish reference corridors from measured operations and preserve that distinction in exports.

Global Debt covers household, consumer, card, mortgage, business, private, government, total nonfinancial, servicing, arrears, rates and related statistical families. It also retains the earlier Real Estate analysis in its own section. Use the atlas, country dossier, comparison and exact-series histories to understand the selected measure.

Compare a debt measure correctly

1. Choose the sector and measure before choosing the country ranking.
2. Read the reporting period and units: currency amount, percent of GDP, service ratio or borrowing rate.
3. Preserve valuation and lender scope. Market-value and nominal government debt are separate measures.
4. Compare like periods and definitions; do not add household/corporate totals to a private total that already contains them.
5. Export the selected series and source definition when using it outside Watchtower.

Reported, Run, Pause and Resume

The clock shelf starts in Reported mode. Run extends the latest reported stock using the declared four-quarter change and elapsed time. Pause freezes the model instant; Resume catches up. Reported returns to the source stock. A refresh or button click does not create a new observed balance.

The initial clock registry contained 248 models: 242 country measures and six covered-economy subtotals. Those totals cover the source's participating economies, not necessarily all world debt. Clock rates can include exchange-rate effects, valuation changes and revisions; they are not measured second-by-second borrowing or interest.

Running values are gated by comparable consecutive quarters, source age and projection bounds. Missing country measures remain missing. Pins can be displayed in Signal Board; playback is session state, while pins are owner-scoped preferences. For the reasoning behind the animation, see source-anchored debt clocks.

One home for country, regional and systemic research

Global Risk Overview combines the former Risk Overview and Systemic entry points. Start with Risk map or All-domain matrix, choose a country or region, then select the evidence domain and lookback. The current overview provides20 domains across five evidence families. Its1/7/30-day controls are evidence lookbacks, not forecast horizons.

Open Drivers & source evidence to inspect the original observations, reporting periods, geography and source lineage. Missing, stale, expired or unsupported inputs remain unknown. Grey/unassessable areas are not certified low-risk areas. Composite evidence-pressure indices need sufficient independent-family coverage; source volume alone does not establish probability or confidence.

Systemic research and track record

Use the embedded Systemic outlook & track record workbench, also available in Forecast Lab. Read Current, Outlook, Impact & dependencies, Evidence, Track record and Methods for their distinct purposes. The Systemic framework’s fourteen domains and frozen financial/regional targets remain separate from the overview’s twenty-domain evidence map.

1. Select the exact target, model and horizon. Financial fund-price outcomes are not country crisis probabilities.
2. Inspect source cut-off, original input times, coverage and excluded/context-only evidence.
3. Separate a source-supported exposure share from an assumed relationship; a graph edge alone does not quantify loss.
4. Read genuinely issued prospective records and compatible outcomes separately from current-vintage historical reconstruction.
5. Keep unresolved and insufficiently sampled outcomes unresolved. Historical fit is not demonstrated live calibration.

The financial Systemic expansion defines58 terminal-loss, close-path-loss and joint-decline targets over1/5/20 NYSE sessions. Regional warning research uses its exact sampled CAP-message criteria and requires adequate sampling before inferring a negative. Use the current target/method definitions in the workspace.

Legacy workflows retains older regional-matrix watches, playbooks and briefing archives with their original meaning. It is not another independently calibrated country forecast.

Global Risk Overview methods · Systemic methods

Deterministic Data Q&A

Data Q&A supports structured lookup over reviewed public sources. Use Ask, the source/dataset catalogue, Evidence, Browser snapshots and Methods to inspect what was read. Specify a country, measure and period when relevant. Keep units, reporting years and source coverage with every result. A registered dataset, a successful response and an original observation are different states.

The original lookup workflow remains distinct from the model-assisted Semantic search & Data Q&A task. Use the explicit AI handoff when you want interpretation or query expansion. Completing one displayed page does not mean an entire upstream source was read.

Assistant, AI Analysis and Oracle

The header Assistant offers13 bounded research/help tasks. Choose the task, review the current public context and sources, use Preview evidence, and choose Run AI when ready. Generation uses the eligible account’s configured OpenAI connection and existing request limits. A configured key is not proof that the provider will accept every request. Opening the learning guide makes no model request.

AI Analysis / Deep Analyst supports a deeper question/report workflow with its current scope and entitlement. Oracle is a separate interface. Check the relevant account/provider/credit terms in the actual tool rather than assuming all three have identical funding or persistence.

A useful question includes purpose, geography/entity, period, output and evidence standard: ‘Summarise the selected funding and shipping evidence; separate observations, model context and missing coverage, and cite original dates.’ This is a request example, not a claim about current events.

Read citations and exact supporting spans. Source support does not establish source truth, exhaustive coverage or model calibration. An AI answer does not silently become an official score, a saved case or an enabled rule. Native actions and private persistence require their own explicit controls.

Assistant capabilities · See the full Assistant tools lesson in this guide.

Deterministic Data Q&A

Data Q&A supports structured lookup over reviewed public sources. Use Ask, the source/dataset catalogue, Evidence, Browser snapshots and Methods to inspect what was read. Specify a country, measure and period when relevant. Keep units, reporting years and source coverage with every result. A registered dataset, a successful response and an original observation are different states.

The original lookup workflow remains distinct from the model-assisted Semantic search & Data Q&A task. Use the explicit AI handoff when you want interpretation or query expansion. Completing one displayed page does not mean an entire upstream source was read.

Assistant, AI Analysis and Oracle

The header Assistant offers13 bounded research/help tasks. Choose the task, review the current public context and sources, use Preview evidence, and choose Run AI when ready. Generation uses the eligible account’s configured OpenAI connection and existing request limits. A configured key is not proof that the provider will accept every request. Opening the learning guide makes no model request.

AI Analysis / Deep Analyst supports a deeper question/report workflow with its current scope and entitlement. Oracle is a separate interface. Check the relevant account/provider/credit terms in the actual tool rather than assuming all three have identical funding or persistence.

A useful question includes purpose, geography/entity, period, output and evidence standard: ‘Summarise the selected funding and shipping evidence; separate observations, model context and missing coverage, and cite original dates.’ This is a request example, not a claim about current events.

Read citations and exact supporting spans. Source support does not establish source truth, exhaustive coverage or model calibration. An AI answer does not silently become an official score, a saved case or an enabled rule. Native actions and private persistence require their own explicit controls.

Assistant capabilities · See the full Assistant tools lesson in this guide.

Linked Events: follow source records and revisions

Open Linked Events for the feed, filters, timeline, map, associations, sources and recorded changes. Search and narrow by source/type/time before opening a record. Its detail distinguishes occurrence, publication, issuance, source-snapshot and collection clocks where available.

Track a record, add a note or save a view when you want to return to it. The tracker can preserve changes observed since collection began; it does not reconstruct every earlier revision at the publisher. Tracking here is browser-local and does not automatically arm an alert or synchronise to another browser. Export/import or use My Watchtower for its separate cloud workflow.

Associations use shared entities, headline/document evidence and time windows. They are leads for investigation, not causal connections or independent verification. A publisher's country and a place mentioned in text do not automatically establish event coordinates. Relevant unlocated records remain useful in the list.

Incident Graph and Entity Explorer

Incident Graph helps inspect relationships among events, places and related evidence. Select a node or map item, read the relationship description and open the supporting records. Expand the map or description controls when the graph is dense. Ask whether an edge represents a shared reference, inferred association, model relation or observed fact.

Entity Explorer is useful when the subject is an organisation, person, asset or other named entity rather than a single event. Resolve ambiguous names using identifiers and source context. Similar labels can describe different entities; repeated mentions are not evidence of legal ownership or operational control.

A good investigation preserves three things separately: the original record, your relationship hypothesis and the evidence that would confirm or contradict that hypothesis.

Linked Events: follow source records and revisions

Open Linked Events for the feed, filters, timeline, map, associations, sources and recorded changes. Search and narrow by source/type/time before opening a record. Its detail distinguishes occurrence, publication, issuance, source-snapshot and collection clocks where available.

Track a record, add a note or save a view when you want to return to it. The tracker can preserve changes observed since collection began; it does not reconstruct every earlier revision at the publisher. Tracking here is browser-local and does not automatically arm an alert or synchronise to another browser. Export/import or use My Watchtower for its separate cloud workflow.

Associations use shared entities, headline/document evidence and time windows. They are leads for investigation, not causal connections or independent verification. A publisher's country and a place mentioned in text do not automatically establish event coordinates. Relevant unlocated records remain useful in the list.

Incident Graph and Entity Explorer

Incident Graph helps inspect relationships among events, places and related evidence. Select a node or map item, read the relationship description and open the supporting records. Expand the map or description controls when the graph is dense. Ask whether an edge represents a shared reference, inferred association, model relation or observed fact.

Entity Explorer is useful when the subject is an organisation, person, asset or other named entity rather than a single event. Resolve ambiguous names using identifiers and source context. Similar labels can describe different entities; repeated mentions are not evidence of legal ownership or operational control.

A good investigation preserves three things separately: the original record, your relationship hypothesis and the evidence that would confirm or contradict that hypothesis.

Sanctions, trade controls and ownership

Open Sanctions / Ownership for listed targets, entities, individuals, vessels/aircraft, trade/export controls, country/thematic regimes and sources. Search for an identifier and open the exact source entry. Preserve the list/programme, measure, reasons and dates.

List entries can overlap and are not a deduplicated population of legally resolved identities. Similar names do not establish identity. Blocking, sectoral restrictions, banking measures, licensing requirements, verification lists and procurement/import rules are distinct. A source programme's update date is not automatically a designation date.

Country programme maps do not establish a universal embargo or a restriction's severity. Ownership search/reporting remains a separate research tool; the workspace does not automatically resolve ownership chains or apply every jurisdiction's ownership rule. Use the issuing authority's current record for a specific case.

CBDC & Digital Money

Explore country ratings, retail CBDCs, wholesale money, private money, cross-border projects, regulation, stablecoin context, dated evidence, comparison and source gaps. Select the track before comparing countries.

The declared maturity bands run from research through design/prototype, controlled pilot, limited operation and operational product. They are ordinal deployment stages, not percentages of national readiness, adoption, privacy, safety or investment merit. A country rating is based on eligible explicitly mapped project evidence within one track.

A shared project can cover several jurisdictions without becoming several independent programmes. A completed historical pilot is not necessarily current operation. Private stablecoins and tokenised deposits are not CBDCs; supported currency or partner participation does not establish national adoption. Editorial review and source availability expire separately, so a fetched page does not automatically renew a rating.

World Disruption Observatory

Outages brings together service incidents and other disruption-related evidence with source/time/location filters, maintenance/recovery/context/stale controls, a map, an unlocated list and exports. Open the source detail before treating a coloured marker as an ongoing failure.

A provider status notice, planned maintenance, a recovery message and a measured regional power fault are different records. An unlocated cloud-service event should not acquire a headquarters “impact point.” Satellite orbit positions are not customer-impact footprints. Old standing-status notices are not newly failed systems. Source record counts are not unique outage counts.

Cyber Exposure

The deeper cyber workspace includes advisories, CISA KEV, EPSS, recent critical CVEs, package advisories, Internet measurements, response directories, ATT&CK, reporting, dated C2 history and sources. Select the view and identifiers, inspect native evidence and export a coherent filtered selection.

CVSS describes technical severity; KEV records known exploitation under its catalogue rules; EPSS is a defined thirty-day exploitation estimate/rank. A due date can apply to a particular regulated audience. None of these alone proves that your organisation runs a vulnerable affected version.

Country lenses may show measurement samples, issuing jurisdictions, directory references or report associations. They are not automatically attack-origin/victim locations or national cyber-safety rankings. Historical hosting references remain historical even if a retained source flag once said “online.” Use the original advisories and affected-version detail for a concrete exposure investigation.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

Infrastructure is the physical/network reference workspace: use the available asset and network layers, search, map inspection and source controls to investigate power, communications, data centres, exchanges, pipelines and related systems. Distinguish a mapped reference network from a measured service outage or current flow.

Pacific cable connections

The recent update makes the map wrap across the date line and adds a Pacific cables view. The selected FASTER, Unity, JUPITER, PLCN and PC1 connections are drawn as purple dashed schematic links between approximate, system-specific localities. They describe same-system connectivity, not surveyed seabed paths, precise landing locations or inferred cross-connects between neighbouring systems.

Open a line or locality, read the system/source description and use the original operator or specialist reference. Omitted branches and source history remain explicit. A reference to a cancelled route does not make it part of the current schematic; the cancelled PLCN Hong Kong branch is excluded.

Underwater power and pipelines

Use the Undersea networks controls for power/pipeline layers, search, lifecycle/history and Pacific/world framing. The parent layer matters: power follows Power or Global Grid, pipelines follow Pipelines, and schematic communications follow Fibre/Cables. If an overlay is unexpectedly absent, check the parent toggle first.

The October OSM reference capture contained 3,260 power ways and 15,332 pipeline ways, including inland-water crossings. These are mapped ways, not unique complete systems or an exhaustive operating inventory. Construction, proposed, disused and abandoned tags affect the default view; unverified lifecycle is not assumed operational. Shared-node components describe mapping topology, not proven live flow.

Native infrastructure, atlas overlays and these supplemental references have separate counts and scopes. Preserve OSM/ODbL or the stated schematic attribution in exports. Subsea methods · Fibre methods.

Start with Simple view

Open War Room and use the clear starting choices: Check a place, Find a dam, Explore map and Help. The All tools control returns to the complete monitoring, investigation and planning interface. These are War Room display choices, separate from the Simple/Extended levels of this guide.

For a place question, choose the intended location or a map point, select the radius and historical period, then read the summary and source details. A search radius is not a hazard footprint; no matching records does not establish safety. Country extents need an actual point rather than an invented country-centre observation. The summary can be downloaded as text for the chosen scope.

Dams, terrain and historical records

The source picker keeps GDAT, GeoDAR and the GDW viewer extract separate. Their identifiers, counts, geometry and capacity definitions differ; nearby rows are not automatically the same dam. A reservoir outline is not a catchment or flood polygon. Published storage capacity is not current storage. Terrain/place references, storm tracks and historical hazards retain their source dates and geometry meaning.

A water-budget example requires an explicit chosen/reported volume, fraction and duration. The fraction25%means0.25. A static water-on-terrain example and a radio line-of-sight calculation use stated assumptions and the native models. They do not establish a dam breach, arrival time, flow velocity, casualties, evacuation route, access permission or guaranteed reception. Missing terrain remains unknown.

Investigations and saved work

Use the native Monitor/Investigate/Tools workflows in All tools for source-linked cases, imagery and planning. The current War Room workbench provides authenticated owner-scoped server cases with its Save/Open/share controls. Read the save/share status before assuming a draft is persisted or another person can access it. Guided place/scenario selections and comparisons have their own session/export semantics. Private browser GIS layers and map notes belong to their own storage system.

Native fullscreen keeps the same iframe, map and draft context, with a fallback when browser fullscreen is unavailable. Use the explicit exit/close control; do not recreate the map just to gain space.

War Room easy guide · Reference/planning methods · Workbench methods · Terrain/radio methods

Commodity Atlas is the map-led resource workspace; Commodities Data is its data-oriented companion. Use commodity/category, geography, source and available lifecycle/history filters before selecting a site, network or country reference. Open details for the native identifier, original source, observation/reference date and geometry meaning.

Commodity prices, national production totals, reserves/resources, processing facilities, ports and transport links are different layers. A mapped mine reference does not prove current production, company ownership share or available capacity. A country production series should not be allocated to a site without an explicit source.

New industrial-gas references

The gas-facility addition contains eleven curated facility/complex records and thirteen gas identities at release. It supports process, gas and text filtering and includes a Neon shortcut to the source-backed POSCO AIR SOLUTION Gwangyang reference.

Explore air/rare gases, helium, natural gas/LPG, electrolysis, reforming, gasification, CO₂ and biogas processes as represented. Specialty-synthesis gaps are explicit. Source-reported planned output is separate from operating output; an undated source keeps its undated status.

Markers are authored approximate locality references, not verified facility coordinates. Read the dashed/reference labels and source cards before using the location. The inventory is partial. Follow a reference to Companies for issuer research and to Monetary Predictions → Commodity Wars for same-basis country resource comparisons. Gas-facility release.

Commodity Atlas is the map-led resource workspace; Commodities Data is its data-oriented companion. Use commodity/category, geography, source and available lifecycle/history filters before selecting a site, network or country reference. Open details for the native identifier, original source, observation/reference date and geometry meaning.

Commodity prices, national production totals, reserves/resources, processing facilities, ports and transport links are different layers. A mapped mine reference does not prove current production, company ownership share or available capacity. A country production series should not be allocated to a site without an explicit source.

New industrial-gas references

The gas-facility addition contains eleven curated facility/complex records and thirteen gas identities at release. It supports process, gas and text filtering and includes a Neon shortcut to the source-backed POSCO AIR SOLUTION Gwangyang reference.

Explore air/rare gases, helium, natural gas/LPG, electrolysis, reforming, gasification, CO₂ and biogas processes as represented. Specialty-synthesis gaps are explicit. Source-reported planned output is separate from operating output; an undated source keeps its undated status.

Markers are authored approximate locality references, not verified facility coordinates. Read the dashed/reference labels and source cards before using the location. The inventory is partial. Follow a reference to Companies for issuer research and to Monetary Predictions → Commodity Wars for same-basis country resource comparisons. Gas-facility release.

Open Companies when you need to move from a commodity theme or ticker to a specific issuer. Search the reference universe, identify the correct listing/entity and inspect the source-backed dossier. Use the available source, category, geography and history controls rather than assuming every result is an active listed company.

The mining/extraction universe combines selected SEC extraction/mining registrants, Wikidata entities and labelled curated references. Broad industry categories can include energy and services. Company names alone do not establish commodity exposure; a “junior” label or low market capitalisation does not establish operating stage. Listing-venue and business-address country are not mine locations.

For a selected supported SEC issuer, primary facts retain the entity identifier, taxonomy concept, value, unit, reporting start/end, filing date, form and accession source. Compare compatible periods and currencies. An amendment can supersede a fact for the same period. The panel does not manufacture trailing-twelve-month results, EV multiples or cash runway from unmatched observations.

Production, reserves/resources, AISC, guidance, mine ownership and project capex require current issuer disclosures or technical reports. Use their source links for those questions. A reference company population is useful discovery, not an exhaustive current worldwide mining census. Optional connected-provider data remains subject to your account and the provider's licence. Companies methods.

Global Bonds: choose a measurement, then its source

Open Global Bonds and use Desk, Sovereigns, Markets, Credit, Ratings & CDS, Derivatives, Offshore Currencies, Leverage/Collateral, Structured, Swap Lines/Repo, Flows, Warnings or Sources according to the question. The primary panels distinguish direct observations, contextual prices/proxies, source-required gaps and authored model components.

Read sovereign yield tenors and native units. In fiscal comparisons, general-government debt, central-only debt, consolidation and expenditure/expense definitions stay explicit. Total expenditure and expense are not summed as if they were non-overlapping measures. Source year and estimated/provisional status can differ across countries.

Ratings & CDS contains a separate broad reference workflow for issuers, funds/vehicles and rated instruments, plus public credit-derivative disclosures. See its dedicated lesson for source status, identities, contracts and price distinctions. The aggregate corporate credit/debt model does not become an issuer-level default estimate merely because a company reference is available nearby.

Derivatives, offshore currencies and funding

BIS notional, gross market value and legally netted credit exposure have different meanings. Currency legs and alternative instrument/maturity/rating breakdowns can overlap. Period-matched shares require compatible numerators/denominators. Market size is not measured loss.

Offshore USD/EUR/JPY credit and Hong Kong offshore-RMB deposit measures have source-specific currencies, components and coverage. They are not one complete global Eurocurrency money-supply total. Keep reported stocks separate from illustrative running debt clocks.

Financial Stress, Deposits and Bank Run Monitor

Use Financial Stress and Deposits for their exact funding/liquidity/positioning/price indicators and stated models. In Bank Run Monitor, distinguish official institution/system observations, authored bank-sample diagnostics and reported news/context. A payment outage, stock decline and deposit outflow are different observations.

Bank CDS retains a selected published five-year premium reference with holding-company/operating-bank boundaries and original dates. Its contract details can be incomplete. Wider rating/CDS links lead to the reference workspace rather than silently replacing model values or inferring deposit safety.

Government finance methods · Credit/CDS methods · Bank evidence methods

Global Bonds: choose a measurement, then its source

Open Global Bonds and use Desk, Sovereigns, Markets, Credit, Ratings & CDS, Derivatives, Offshore Currencies, Leverage/Collateral, Structured, Swap Lines/Repo, Flows, Warnings or Sources according to the question. The primary panels distinguish direct observations, contextual prices/proxies, source-required gaps and authored model components.

Read sovereign yield tenors and native units. In fiscal comparisons, general-government debt, central-only debt, consolidation and expenditure/expense definitions stay explicit. Total expenditure and expense are not summed as if they were non-overlapping measures. Source year and estimated/provisional status can differ across countries.

Ratings & CDS contains a separate broad reference workflow for issuers, funds/vehicles and rated instruments, plus public credit-derivative disclosures. See its dedicated lesson for source status, identities, contracts and price distinctions. The aggregate corporate credit/debt model does not become an issuer-level default estimate merely because a company reference is available nearby.

Derivatives, offshore currencies and funding

BIS notional, gross market value and legally netted credit exposure have different meanings. Currency legs and alternative instrument/maturity/rating breakdowns can overlap. Period-matched shares require compatible numerators/denominators. Market size is not measured loss.

Offshore USD/EUR/JPY credit and Hong Kong offshore-RMB deposit measures have source-specific currencies, components and coverage. They are not one complete global Eurocurrency money-supply total. Keep reported stocks separate from illustrative running debt clocks.

Financial Stress, Deposits and Bank Run Monitor

Use Financial Stress and Deposits for their exact funding/liquidity/positioning/price indicators and stated models. In Bank Run Monitor, distinguish official institution/system observations, authored bank-sample diagnostics and reported news/context. A payment outage, stock decline and deposit outflow are different observations.

Bank CDS retains a selected published five-year premium reference with holding-company/operating-bank boundaries and original dates. Its contract details can be incomplete. Wider rating/CDS links lead to the reference workspace rather than silently replacing model values or inferring deposit safety.

Government finance methods · Credit/CDS methods · Bank evidence methods

Prediction Markets → Market Radar provides a risk radar, screener, repricing view, closing calendar, event ladders, themes, browser-local watchlist, comparisons and source methods. The integrated catalogue is a reviewed subset of Polymarket and Kalshi, not each venue's entire market universe.

Open the exact contract before interpreting a displayed price. Read the outcome wording, Yes polarity, resolution criteria, close time and quote time. Two similar headlines can have different settlement conditions. Nested thresholds or contracts about the same event overlap and should not be added into a total probability.

Use books/depth and histories where available to understand the quotation's context. Missing trades or a thin book should remain missing/thin, not be replaced with an assumed price. USD volume on one venue and contract counts on another are distinct measures. Related news or a Watchtower model can provide context, but does not settle the contract.

A market price is a market observation about a particular payoff. It is not Watchtower's calibrated forecast or confirmation that the event happened. Watchlist saves here are browser-local. See Prediction Markets methods.

Public camera explorer

Open Cameras to search a place, radius, country, source or media type. Inspect the source record before opening an image or stream. Official snapshots, community discovery links and directory-only references are different. A registered camera record does not guarantee live playback.

Create a viewing wall using the supported 1/4/9/16-slot layouts, favourites and explicit start/stop controls. Custom public HTTPS images/HLS/clips or YouTube links may be supported, subject to browser, codec, CORS and provider rules. The wall does not create a recording or a media-rebroadcast entitlement.

Walls/favourites and custom URLs are account-scoped browser preferences. Export/import them for a deliberate backup. Hidden/replay/account transitions stop or clear playback as required; opening a new account should not restore another account's wall. Camera methods.

Flock locations

Choose Flock locations for the community-mapped OSM/DeFlock ALPR reference inventory, its map/list/search/radius filters, explicit bearings and source-change history. This is a database of reported locations, not plate records, camera video, verified hardware counts or current operational status.

An added or removed source record is a mapping change; it does not prove that hardware was installed, removed or moved at that instant. No viewing cone is inferred from a point. Tracked IDs are browser-local and do not send notifications. Preserve the source dates and ODbL attribution in exports. Flock release.

Global Bonds: choose a measurement, then its source

Open Global Bonds and use Desk, Sovereigns, Markets, Credit, Ratings & CDS, Derivatives, Offshore Currencies, Leverage/Collateral, Structured, Swap Lines/Repo, Flows, Warnings or Sources according to the question. The primary panels distinguish direct observations, contextual prices/proxies, source-required gaps and authored model components.

Read sovereign yield tenors and native units. In fiscal comparisons, general-government debt, central-only debt, consolidation and expenditure/expense definitions stay explicit. Total expenditure and expense are not summed as if they were non-overlapping measures. Source year and estimated/provisional status can differ across countries.

Ratings & CDS contains a separate broad reference workflow for issuers, funds/vehicles and rated instruments, plus public credit-derivative disclosures. See its dedicated lesson for source status, identities, contracts and price distinctions. The aggregate corporate credit/debt model does not become an issuer-level default estimate merely because a company reference is available nearby.

Derivatives, offshore currencies and funding

BIS notional, gross market value and legally netted credit exposure have different meanings. Currency legs and alternative instrument/maturity/rating breakdowns can overlap. Period-matched shares require compatible numerators/denominators. Market size is not measured loss.

Offshore USD/EUR/JPY credit and Hong Kong offshore-RMB deposit measures have source-specific currencies, components and coverage. They are not one complete global Eurocurrency money-supply total. Keep reported stocks separate from illustrative running debt clocks.

Financial Stress, Deposits and Bank Run Monitor

Use Financial Stress and Deposits for their exact funding/liquidity/positioning/price indicators and stated models. In Bank Run Monitor, distinguish official institution/system observations, authored bank-sample diagnostics and reported news/context. A payment outage, stock decline and deposit outflow are different observations.

Bank CDS retains a selected published five-year premium reference with holding-company/operating-bank boundaries and original dates. Its contract details can be incomplete. Wider rating/CDS links lead to the reference workspace rather than silently replacing model values or inferring deposit safety.

Government finance methods · Credit/CDS methods · Bank evidence methods

These are different entry points for different jobs.

Read the lead items, then open their canonical workspace. A concise card is a pointer to evidence, not a substitute for all source qualifications. When a source is unavailable, follow the coverage detail rather than interpreting an empty card as a normal condition.

Signal Board lets you assemble a focused monitoring display. Search for a signal, pin it, reorder or remove tiles, and expand the board when useful. Source-anchored debt clocks can also be pinned here. Their playback state is shared with the corresponding debt-clock controls during the session; a running animation does not turn a reported stock into a live measurement.

Alert Screen is the compact place to review monitoring conditions. It is not identical to the Alerts rule editor or My Watchtower's server inbox. Use the alert's own origin, threshold, timestamp and evidence to decide where to investigate next.

Choose the news in a Brief

Pro Brief and Daily Brief offer News preferences for topic, source type, editorial perspective and an integer story count from 0 to 50. Zero hides news; the initial defaults are six Pro Brief stories and ten Daily Brief stories. Choices are browser-local by default, per owner and per brief, with a separate guest namespace; Research tools → Device sync can explicitly transfer selected account preferences. Pro uses a 48-hour window; Daily uses the current UTC day and retains its region selection. Publisher labels describe source context, not article accuracy or inferred event geography. Saved invalid choices require explicit correction rather than silent replacement. A copied live Brief link does not transfer your saved preferences.

These are different entry points for different jobs.

Read the lead items, then open their canonical workspace. A concise card is a pointer to evidence, not a substitute for all source qualifications. When a source is unavailable, follow the coverage detail rather than interpreting an empty card as a normal condition.

Signal Board lets you assemble a focused monitoring display. Search for a signal, pin it, reorder or remove tiles, and expand the board when useful. Source-anchored debt clocks can also be pinned here. Their playback state is shared with the corresponding debt-clock controls during the session; a running animation does not turn a reported stock into a live measurement.

Alert Screen is the compact place to review monitoring conditions. It is not identical to the Alerts rule editor or My Watchtower's server inbox. Use the alert's own origin, threshold, timestamp and evidence to decide where to investigate next.

Choose the news in a Brief

Pro Brief and Daily Brief offer News preferences for topic, source type, editorial perspective and an integer story count from 0 to 50. Zero hides news; the initial defaults are six Pro Brief stories and ten Daily Brief stories. Choices are browser-local by default, per owner and per brief, with a separate guest namespace; Research tools → Device sync can explicitly transfer selected account preferences. Pro uses a 48-hour window; Daily uses the current UTC day and retains its region selection. Publisher labels describe source context, not article accuracy or inferred event geography. Saved invalid choices require explicit correction rather than silent replacement. A copied live Brief link does not transfer your saved preferences.

These are different entry points for different jobs.

Read the lead items, then open their canonical workspace. A concise card is a pointer to evidence, not a substitute for all source qualifications. When a source is unavailable, follow the coverage detail rather than interpreting an empty card as a normal condition.

Signal Board lets you assemble a focused monitoring display. Search for a signal, pin it, reorder or remove tiles, and expand the board when useful. Source-anchored debt clocks can also be pinned here. Their playback state is shared with the corresponding debt-clock controls during the session; a running animation does not turn a reported stock into a live measurement.

Alert Screen is the compact place to review monitoring conditions. It is not identical to the Alerts rule editor or My Watchtower's server inbox. Use the alert's own origin, threshold, timestamp and evidence to decide where to investigate next.

Choose the news in a Brief

Pro Brief and Daily Brief offer News preferences for topic, source type, editorial perspective and an integer story count from 0 to 50. Zero hides news; the initial defaults are six Pro Brief stories and ten Daily Brief stories. Choices are browser-local by default, per owner and per brief, with a separate guest namespace; Research tools → Device sync can explicitly transfer selected account preferences. Pro uses a 48-hour window; Daily uses the current UTC day and retains its region selection. Publisher labels describe source context, not article accuracy or inferred event geography. Saved invalid choices require explicit correction rather than silent replacement. A copied live Brief link does not transfer your saved preferences.

Watchtower Search searches the retained canonical corpus and is available in both Simple and Advanced layouts. It can surface source records, public reporting, social items, data and supported destinations with provenance and freshness context.

Search deliberately

1. Start with an entity, instrument, country or phrase. Add a second discriminating term if the results are broad.
2. Use the available result-type/category filters. A news result, source status row and measured event are different things.
3. Expand the result to read its indexed excerpt and source metadata. The excerpt is what was retained, not guaranteed to be the complete current publisher page.
4. Follow the original source, qualified data detail, country view or market destination.
5. If a Show on map (OpenStreetMap) action is present, read the coordinate qualification. It opens an external marked map for a supported source-owned point; it does not establish a new main-globe observation.

Search is a retained index with a scheduled refresh. A record newly available in a live dataset may appear in Search later. Source-specific filters, retention limits and entitlements still apply. Private My Watchtower items, account records and private investigation contents are not part of the shared public corpus. Live search is withheld during replay rather than being mixed into a historical view.

Use Data Q&A for supported structured numeric questions; use Search when you need to locate records or reporting. Use a specialist workspace when the task requires complete filtered tables, detailed histories or source-native pagination.

There are several monitoring workflows. Choose by where the condition is evaluated and where you expect to read the result.

Build a multi-input browser rule

1. Open Alerts → Intelligence Rule Studio and name the question the rule is meant to detect.
2. Select inputs from the available loaded public-source field catalogue. Read each field's units and timestamp basis.
3. Combine conditions using ALL (AND), ANY (OR) and optional NOT groups. For example, A AND (B OR C) makes a different claim from (A AND B) OR C.
4. Set the maximum age, matching/crossing/duration behaviour and cooldown deliberately.
5. Test against the current evidence. Inspect true, false and unknown branches before saving and arming.
6. Read a triggered report for the exact thresholds, source values, times and optional scenario note.

Missing, stale, failed or future inputs are unknown. NOT unknown remains unknown. A crossing needs two comparable timestamped values. “Observed true for” means matching sampled checks over the chosen duration; gaps can reset that duration. Unknown data does not silently rearm a condition as if it had become known false.

Imported definitions require review and arming. Browser-local rule/report exports can contain your notes and assumptions. Experimental linear projection from session samples is an extrapolation of observed snapshots, not a calibrated event forecast or invented historical series. Rule methods.

Portfolio applies research context to the holdings and exposure information you choose to maintain. Begin by checking the verified account and the saved portfolio state before editing. Identify each instrument and listing, enter quantities/cost assumptions in the appropriate units, and confirm the application's save result. A portfolio view is not a broker order ticket.

Inspect quote freshness and mapping coverage before interpreting valuations or exposures. A fund can hold many underlying assets; a ticker's listing country does not establish its economic exposure. A missing quote or unresolved mapping is a gap, not a zero-value holding. Snapshot valuations, historical research and scenario assumptions should remain separately labelled in any report.

Personal-relevance/consequences tools can connect selected evidence to your supplied context. Treat their results as conditional research: the source event, exposure mapping and assumed consequence are separate steps. A geographic overlap or shared industry label is not measured loss or a guaranteed impact on a holding.

Where the account's exposure-monitor rules are available, inspect the rule's fields, thresholds, evaluation status and delivery channel. These rules have their own server-side contracts. They do not automatically convert every browser rule, watchlist or map pin into unattended monitoring. Export the assessment assumptions with your evidence when sharing a portfolio-related conclusion.

Only the portfolio’s native controls edit or save holdings. Learning progress contains lesson identifiers and knowledge checks, not your portfolio inputs.

Open Reports in the app or the report library. The system distinguishes periodic daily/weekly/monthly editions, requested special reports, local/browser research outputs and personal My Watchtower briefings.

Read an edition

1. Identify the edition date and covered period: daily, weekly or trailing calendar-month windows are not interchangeable.
2. Read the executive briefing and domain sections, then open the source/coverage register.
3. Use Inspect edition evidence where entitled. The evidence view binds to the edition's captured source identity rather than silently substituting today's data.
4. Inspect source fields/pages or download the source manifest. Preserve original observations, source state, query scope and model versions.
5. Download the offered HTML/PDF/JSON formats and writing style. The selected style should not change the underlying factual evidence or purchased scope.

An edition can include current evidence, retained/aged context, unknown clocks and unavailable sources. Its source count is not a number of independent verified incidents. A lack of capture history limits what “changed over the period” can establish. Report documents can remain available after some raw evidence retention expires; use the manifest and any explicit evidence-expiry notice.

Request and purchase deliberately

Choose the report's topic/scope and inspect availability and the displayed price before confirming. Use the current displayed report scope, price and checkout terms; offers can change. Optional research requests may have separate credit/provider costs.

After a payment or generation request, use the existing purchase/confirmation status and report library. A pending confirmation is not an instruction to pay again. Download under the purchasing account, and retain the original edition identity with your copy. Reporting release.

Marine

Use Marine to investigate the available vessel, port, shipping and chokepoint references. Inspect the source and geographic coverage before interpreting a ship count. Public AIS samples may be regional, delayed or incomplete; a last-known position is not a current confirmed location. Embedded third-party views retain the provider's own coverage and access.

Compare a port or route observation with its source time, baseline and relevant event evidence. A position or traffic count does not directly establish cargo, ownership, delay, capacity utilisation or cause. Use Commodity Atlas and Infrastructure for physical context without treating nearby reference assets as proven affected assets.

Mobility Intel

Mobility connects ports/chokepoints, aviation weather/status and selected rail, border or corridor evidence. Its direct-evidence views retain native records, scope and formulas. PortWatch activity, METAR weather, FAA restrictions and sampled Finnish rail observations measure different things.

A weather report is not an airport-congestion reading. A scoped FAA restriction does not imply an airport-wide closure. Predicted rail timing is distinct from observed lateness. A same-weekday activity baseline needs adequate comparable samples; insufficient or stale data should not become an infinite anomaly score or a quiet condition.

For an investigation, choose one node/corridor, inspect its original operational series, then add weather, infrastructure and reporting as separately labelled context. Distinguish reference corridors from measured operations and preserve that distinction in exports.

The dedicated Air / Aviation workspace supports 2D/3D views, unified search, filters, aircraft detail, follow, trails/charts, airport lookup, replay, comparisons, context, licensed reference images, private investigations and supported cloud views/watches/inbox functions.

Follow a public observation

1. Search by a supported callsign, registration, identifier or airport reference. Check the identity fields rather than relying only on a familiar label.
2. Select the aircraft. Compare position time, last contact time and collection time.
3. Inspect altitude/speed/track units and the available observed trail. A directional marker follows supplied track; missing direction is not invented.
4. Use follow or fullscreen when useful. Switch to retained-observation replay for history actually captured by Watchtower.
5. Export the supported public observation or trail with its source attribution and gaps.

Public ADSB.lol is the default source. Receiver/query/metadata coverage is uneven; counts include source targets and are not all worldwide flights or verified flight legs. Retained history grows from actual collection and can shorten under caps. Gaps and implausible jumps split trails rather than being joined into a fabricated flight path.

Airport, weather and airspace context

Context can include OurAirports references, AWC METAR/TAF/SIGMET/G-AIRMET, FAA status/TFR/airspace and retained weather warnings. FAA coverage is not a complete global NOTAM service. A weather polygon overlapping a horizontal aircraft position does not prove flight impact. Read original notices and validity windows.

Personal and licensed additions

Use the workspace's supported cloud views, watches, server inbox and account-private investigations for its newer operations workflow. Browser notifications require the relevant open browser context; server inbox evaluation is separate. Local watch preferences and cloud records are not interchangeable.

API Connections & Add-ons → Aviation Data Add-ons can use your eligible FlightAware AeroAPI, ADSBX Enterprise or aviationstack credentials. These are manual, owner-private lookups with separate provider terms/charges. They do not turn paid results into shared public trails, watches or cases. Aviation methods · Investigation release.

Conflict / Military aggregates source-qualified conflict and military-related public evidence. Use geography, time, source and layer filters, then select a record and read its geometry, event class and original report. Country outlines, event points, reference facilities and reported activity should remain distinct.

The unified map is useful for moving from a regional overview to the underlying source, rather than drawing conclusions from the density of markers alone. Multiple reports can concern one development; uneven reporting can leave significant gaps. A military-related headline, an official statement and an independently observed event have different meanings.

Use Geopolitical Risk for global model/context views, War Room for a place-based investigation, Aviation for its dedicated public aircraft observations, and Satellite & Sensor Data for orbital/reference context. A source military label on an aircraft is not independently verified ownership, mission, occupants or intent. Sharing a location or date across layers is a research lead, not by itself a causal or operational conclusion.

World Disruption Observatory

Outages brings together service incidents and other disruption-related evidence with source/time/location filters, maintenance/recovery/context/stale controls, a map, an unlocated list and exports. Open the source detail before treating a coloured marker as an ongoing failure.

A provider status notice, planned maintenance, a recovery message and a measured regional power fault are different records. An unlocated cloud-service event should not acquire a headquarters “impact point.” Satellite orbit positions are not customer-impact footprints. Old standing-status notices are not newly failed systems. Source record counts are not unique outage counts.

Cyber Exposure

The deeper cyber workspace includes advisories, CISA KEV, EPSS, recent critical CVEs, package advisories, Internet measurements, response directories, ATT&CK, reporting, dated C2 history and sources. Select the view and identifiers, inspect native evidence and export a coherent filtered selection.

CVSS describes technical severity; KEV records known exploitation under its catalogue rules; EPSS is a defined thirty-day exploitation estimate/rank. A due date can apply to a particular regulated audience. None of these alone proves that your organisation runs a vulnerable affected version.

Country lenses may show measurement samples, issuing jurisdictions, directory references or report associations. They are not automatically attack-origin/victim locations or national cyber-safety rankings. Historical hosting references remain historical even if a retained source flag once said “online.” Use the original advisories and affected-version detail for a concrete exposure investigation.

Weather Alerts

The global warning view offers country, severity, current/upcoming and multilingual text filters; paginated lists; original information/instructions; source details; map geometry; JSON export; and a country/territory coverage directory.

Read the issuing authority, issue/effective/expiry times, severity and message status. CAP updates and cancellations follow explicit source references. Multiple messages or language blocks are not necessarily separate storms. Japan's JMA municipality/hazard states retain their own levels and are not simply interchangeable with CAP severity categories.

A coverage directory listing does not guarantee complete current delivery for that country. No reported warning, partial, stale, not integrated and unavailable have different meanings. Warnings without qualified geometry remain in the list; Watchtower does not fabricate a country-centre impact polygon. Global warning release.

Natural Hazards

Use Natural Hazards for earthquakes, severe-weather products, fires, tropical systems, volcanic evidence and related observations/reference layers. Its recent expansion reuses still-valid global warnings, adds source event inspection and improves native-unit temperature, rain and snowfall cards.

The volcanic controls include source bulletins and published VAAC observed/+6/+12/+18-hour airborne-ash areas, with source flight levels. Airborne ash is not ground ashfall, a pyroclastic-flow footprint or an evacuation zone. An older open EONET listing does not establish a continuing eruption. No synthetic danger cone should be inferred from a volcano point.

Optional historical landslide reports, dated fault traces, reference volcanoes and LHASA model imagery have separate meanings and are generally off until selected. COOLR reports can be historical. GEM fault traces are geological references, not earthquake predictions. Provider-latest LHASA imagery may lack an exposed run timestamp.

Snow depth appears only when a source supplies it; rainfall is not converted to snowfall with an assumed ratio. Preserve observation/forecast/maximum labels, units and accumulation windows. The newness highlight uses an eligible source time for a bounded ten-minute window; refreshing does not restart an event's age. Expanded hazard methods.

Health / Biosecurity

Use Health's evidence views for official disease/outbreak reporting, wastewater and animal-health context where supplied, plus its facilities reference view. Select the source, country, date and event type, then read reporting/observation periods and geographical coverage. More reports can reflect more surveillance rather than a directly comparable increase in disease incidence.

The Facilities view supports source, type, focus, containment and lifecycle filters. It combines reviewed institutional references with supported registration evidence. FDA registration is not product approval or containment certification. BSL4, CL4, PC4 and other source schemes retain their own labels. Planned or commissioning facilities do not become verified operational capacity.

Facility markers can be city/locality references rather than building coordinates. Unmapped records remain available. A source reference should not be interpreted as a complete census of laboratories, manufacturing plants or national health capacity. Health methods · Facility methods.

Crime & Terror

This map-led workspace combines global evidence with selected police/agency bulletins and statistical area/cell references. Use the filter and data rails, source/lag details, unlocated records, comparison and export tools. Some workflows open a map-first fullscreen view; close it to restore the original tab.

Police bulletins can be preliminary. A municipality centre is not an incident site. Statistical cells aggregate a specified category/month and reporting sample, while coverage can be capped or lagged. Different jurisdiction definitions and collection windows prevent treating raw counts as comparable personal-risk rates.

Inspect the original classification, period and geometry before combining Crime & Terror with a country dossier or a War Room case. A blank area can be uncovered or suppressed by filters; it does not establish low crime. Separate your assessment from the source's statement.

Health / Biosecurity

Use Health's evidence views for official disease/outbreak reporting, wastewater and animal-health context where supplied, plus its facilities reference view. Select the source, country, date and event type, then read reporting/observation periods and geographical coverage. More reports can reflect more surveillance rather than a directly comparable increase in disease incidence.

The Facilities view supports source, type, focus, containment and lifecycle filters. It combines reviewed institutional references with supported registration evidence. FDA registration is not product approval or containment certification. BSL4, CL4, PC4 and other source schemes retain their own labels. Planned or commissioning facilities do not become verified operational capacity.

Facility markers can be city/locality references rather than building coordinates. Unmapped records remain available. A source reference should not be interpreted as a complete census of laboratories, manufacturing plants or national health capacity. Health methods · Facility methods.

Crime & Terror

This map-led workspace combines global evidence with selected police/agency bulletins and statistical area/cell references. Use the filter and data rails, source/lag details, unlocated records, comparison and export tools. Some workflows open a map-first fullscreen view; close it to restore the original tab.

Police bulletins can be preliminary. A municipality centre is not an incident site. Statistical cells aggregate a specified category/month and reporting sample, while coverage can be capped or lagged. Different jurisdiction definitions and collection windows prevent treating raw counts as comparable personal-risk rates.

Inspect the original classification, period and geometry before combining Crime & Terror with a country dossier or a War Room case. A blank area can be uncovered or suppressed by filters; it does not establish low crime. Separate your assessment from the source's statement.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The News area contains Breaking, Economics, Technology, Health / Bio, Natural Disasters, Search and Narratives. The separate Social workspace is in the main Advanced navigation. Reader topic controls remain available in expanded/fullscreen views.

Read across sources

Choose a topic, date window and geography, then refine by source type, platform or editorial context where offered. Open the original story or post. Compare publication times and publisher families before interpreting repeated coverage as independent support. Reading-list and saved-filter tools preserve the source metadata needed to revisit the item.

Source type, editorial/political leaning, platform and reliability are not interchangeable. A source can be unclassified without being centrist. Wire status does not guarantee neutrality. Labels may be based on publisher self-description or attributed editorial review and do not assign beliefs to every author or reader.

The expanded source directory includes alternative and libertarian publications and selected public Bluesky, YouTube, Mastodon, Lemmy, PeerTube, Rumble-reference, Odysee and podcast sources. These are bounded reviewed feeds, not complete social-platform firehoses. A publisher-linked video reference may retain the referring article's clock rather than a verified video-upload timestamp. A directory-only channel is a discoverable reference, not a connected feed.

Use Narratives to explore themes and related reporting. A cluster describes a grouping, not proof of coordination or truth. When exporting or writing a report, retain publisher URLs, publication dates and relevant source labels. Detailed distinctions are in media methods.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

The left Market Overview, lower Markets panel and full-width Global Markets now share consistent identities, source dates, units, flags and evidence controls. Use the compact panels for scanning and Global Markets for a wider table or symbol lookup.

Left Market Overview tabs

Lower Markets and the full-width atlas

Commodities shows native futures quotations; Indices shows the registered benchmark universe; Forex offers market quotes and ECB references; Crypto shows the source-defined asset universe; Global Stocks shows the filtered worldwide equity-mover scan. Use the available regional, text, rising/falling, data-gap and period controls. A rising/falling filter requires eligible non-missing change data; an undated source is not automatically a current mover.

Global Markets adds an overview and dedicated Indices, FX, Commodities, Equities, Crypto, Yields and Sources views. Symbol lookup searches supported public references. Confirm instrument type and exchange: the same ticker can identify different listings. Open the instrument for its existing chart controls, or use the information button for normalized evidence and original fields. CSV reflects the selected view; inspect the export's units, source and observation columns.

Worldwide coverage, flags and identities

The benchmark registry contains 56 indices across 44 countries/areas. The market release verified 55 available values, including qualified SET, PSEi, Tadawul All Share and DFM General supplements. Chile S&P IPSA was a visible remaining gap. Availability can change; the registry count is not a guarantee that every record is presently populated.

Index flags identify the benchmark area. Stock flags now prefer source-reported company country, matched to the exact exchange-qualified instrument. That reference is not independently verified legal domicile. If company country is unavailable, a known venue flag carries an explicit Listing tag; if both are unknown, a neutral marker appears. Country is not guessed from quote currency or a bare ticker. Inspect the flag's source/basis and retrieval date; retrieval is not an invented corporate-validity date.

This identity treatment also appears in quote searches, company views, stock-chart headers and portfolio stock rows. Equity display-region filters use the preferred country; the company screener's existing country column is explicitly Listing country. CSV adds company/listing country and flag basis. FX displays the base and quote currency areas; EUR uses a union reference. Commodity mini-icons and crypto glyphs supplement names and tickers. Unknown tokens retain a readable badge. Company-country flag update.

Corrections include the actual S&P/TSX Composite, SSE 50, US CBOE VIX identities and the current CME lumber reference LBR=F. Duplicate aliases for one benchmark are consolidated. An unverified name-only fallback cannot become a newly verified symbol.

Currency-reference example

Open Forex → ECB references, choose a base such as CAD, then inspect a row. The source provides currencies per EUR. Watchtower calculates a cross as quote-per-EUR ÷ base-per-EUR on the same fixing date. The reviewed source supplied 30 currencies including EUR and a 90-day reference file. The prior common fixing supplies the comparison, not an invented intraday quote.

For a USD/foreign pair with a 10% rise, the reciprocal foreign/USD return is approximately −9.09%, not −10%: (1 / (1 + 0.10) − 1) × 100. Pair direction therefore matters in FX strength.

ECB information is available free of charge from the ECB. Cross-rates and changes are Watchtower calculations. Fixings are dated reference information, not executable transaction quotes. See market sources and calculations.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

Space Weather tabs

The Space Weather area contains Live, Threats, Forecast, Aurora, Asteroids and Sources. Use it to distinguish measured solar-terrestrial conditions, official NOAA products, research models and NASA/JPL orbital references.

Live/Threats can include Kp, solar wind, radiation channels and official R/S/G scale context. Read channel, unit, quality flag and validity time. Kp, local K, Dst and geoelectric fields are different quantities. Missing official values should not be interpreted as G0/R0/S0. A regional geoelectric model is not a measured induced-current or power-failure map.

Aurora uses model fields and their valid times, not a direct sky observation. Inspect a cell, frame date and hemisphere/world view. Cloud, local terrain and light pollution affect what a person sees and are not automatically represented. GloTEC background-only versus observation-supported cells have their own support meaning.

Asteroids separates orbital catalogue references, predicted close approaches, Sentry monitoring, Scout candidates and historical fireballs. MOID is a distance between orbital paths, not a predicted simultaneous encounter. PHA classification is not an impact prediction. Source orbital epochs and TDB approach dates differ from a present-time position. Space Weather methods.

Satellite & Sensor Data

Search the orbital/reference catalogue, filter ownership/type/coverage, select an object and inspect its source elements, epoch and projected track. Positions calculated from orbital elements are estimates with age limits. Missing or incompatible elements do not acquire invented positions.

Ownership references can be uncertain or use classifications that are not simple ISO countries. An organisation attached to a station module is not necessarily the owner of the whole station. Object counts can include reference/uncertain records and are not a count of confirmed operational satellites. Layers and fullscreen controls change presentation while retaining these qualifications.

A useful starting workflow

Open Geopolitical Futures, beside War Room. Start on Hotspot atlas, choose a country pair and a future reference year, then select a map measure. Population growth, density, land/person, water/person, source water stress and historical activity have different units; the map does not combine them into an attack score.

Country, terrain and disputes

Use Country & opponents to inspect the recorded opposing parties, primary/secondary roles and archived terrain, borders, rivers, natural resources and dispute wording. The country archive retains original years and its publication retirement on 4 February 2026. Read recent reporting retrieves a bounded, separately dated selection from the current political-news collection; publication and country mentions are not verified event locations, and reporting does not alter the historical model. A geographic study or representative point does not settle sovereignty, control or exact local impact. Related native workspaces provide fuller map and current-source research.

Read the historical evidence

Conflict history provides state-based conflict-years and opposing actor-pair years from 1946–2025, non-state conflict records, country-year organized violence, onset definitions, termination coding, stated rebel-group issues, peace agreements and external support. Each source keeps its own end year and record unit. A side-A label does not mean attacker. Year1000 in the issues source is undated/founding context, not the year1000 CE. Historical polities are not silently substituted for every present-day country.

Use country roles, opposing-country selection, years and text search. Clear the second country to see other opponents; clear both for global records. Read source-native pages as well as any MCP field pages. Record counts from different datasets overlap and are not counts of unique wars.

Explore population and resource futures

Resources & demography uses World Bank population estimates/projections through2050 and dated land, water, agriculture and resource-rent observations. Adjust population deviation, renewable-water change, withdrawal per person and arable area. Read the exact formula and original anchor years below the result. User changes are assumptions, not UN confidence variants or a climate model. Internal renewable water excludes incoming international flows; arable hectares are not food production, and resource rents are not recoverable reserves.

Run a strategic scenario tabletop

Choose a geographic study or custom country pair, hypothetical trigger and third-party assumption. Build the scenario to see an evidence brief, possible directions of pressure and historical mechanism analogues. Add up to12 moves for sideA orB: talks, an access/resource agreement, political/economic pressure, an explicitly assumed limited confrontation, or standing down. Undo or clear rounds to compare paths. The initiating actor is only a user assumption; the model does not infer a future government's attack decision from history, nationality or religion.

Compare negotiated access, contained confrontation and wider spillover. These are rule-based conditional branches, without invented branch probabilities, military targeting or victory/casualty estimates. Scenario drafts are session-only; Export selection keeps the assumptions and source snapshot.

Understand model and track record

The numerical historical model targets source-coded state-based organized-violence event presence inside country borders in a calendar year. It is not a bilateral attack, aggression or war-onset model. Only complete five-year source histories enter the model. Validation and test use later calendar periods with a frozen training cutoff; prevalence and persistence comparisons, Brier score, log-loss and reliability bins are shown. The retrospective source vintage is explicit.

Population projections extend to2050; conflict probabilities are displayed only at qualified, separately tested annual leads. The current2025 input cutoff means a2027 value uses two model steps. Longer unqualified leads stay unknown. Initial prospective outcomes remain unresolved; new forecasts have actual issuance times in their own append-only record. Historical zeros mean no eligible source record, not proof that no violence occurred. Actor objectives and country cultural references are contextual, not demographic aggression predictors.

See Geopolitical Futures methods for source versions, definitions, formulas and limitations.